2005 Subyearling Migration - Fish Passage Center2005鱼体运移通道中心.pptVIP

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2018-04-12 发布于江西
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2005 Subyearling Migration - Fish Passage Center2005鱼体运移通道中心.ppt

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2005 Subyearling Migration - Fish Passage Center2005鱼体运移通道中心.ppt

2005 Subyearling Migration Fish Passage Center Overview – summer migration Court ordered summer spill occurred from June 20 to August 31, 2005 Question was posed to FPC if any response could be determined for the juvenile migrants No specific studies related to spill were conducted in 2005. RT studies were conducted, but did not address reach survival of juvenile migrants. PIT tags data were available from production marking, as well as wild fish marking and various studies (transportation, hatchery operations) Historic Data Set PIT tags available included: production/acclimation fish, wild chinook and research/surrogate fish. Reach survival estimates (LGR to McN) possible since 1998. This was partly due to increases in the numbers of tags released and PIT tag recapture location at JDA. Typical hydrograph – high flows occur in late May-early June – with subsequent decreasing trend. Summer spill prior to 2005, if spill occurred, was during late high flow periods or during periods of excess market capacity (2002). Daily Avg Q Little Goose 1998 to 2005 1998 to 2005 Conditions Preliminary Analyis Used available PIT-tags – conduct temporal analyses similar to those conducted with yearling migrants 2 groups separated as much as possible into before/after spill began on June 20 Estimated LGR to MCN survival of two groups Assigned exposure indices for environmental variables Compared 2005 to patterns observed in other recent past years Originally compared back to 2001 Survival for Subyearling Chinook LGR to McN 2001 to 2005 with 90% CI’s Updates to Preliminary Analysis Use shorter time intervals to better match reach survivals to environmental conditions Adds distinct pre-6/20 (at LGS-IHR), transitional, post 6/20 groups Expanded to include 1998 to 2000 migration years Used weighted regression (inverse variance) Introduces higher variability in survival estimates due to lower sample sizes Lower Granite Detection date ranges for Survival Groups Environmental Var