基于不完全信息动态博弈的食品安全问题研究——以生鲜肉为例-research on food safety based on incomplete information dynamic game —— taking fresh meat as an example.docxVIP

Based on incompleteinformation dynamicgameof FoodSafety IssuesACaseStudyof FreshmeatIntroductionoftheauthor:LiuJie, male, was bornin August,1984 whosetutor was ProfessorChen .Hegraduatedfrom ChengduUniversityofTechnologyin Management Science and Engineeringmajor andwasgranted theMasterDegreein June, 2010.AbstractWhenfacingvariednewsoffoodstuff,mostconsumersconsiderthatthesafety problemsoffoodstuffareincreasinglyseriousandtheyareevenafraidofthesafetyof thosefoodatebythemselves.Thedefinitionofunsafefoodstuff,madebyWHOis onethatholdstoxicandharmfulsubstanceswithinitself,whichareundoubtedly dangerousforourhumanbeings’health.Nowtherearethereproblemscatchingour eyesmost,thefirstoneisfoodstuffpollutedbysomemicroorganisms,whichwill causesomefood origin disease, justasdysentery, typhoid, choleraandetc.The second oneis chemical pollution includingpesticide, veterinarydrug,andheavymetal andsoon.Thenthelastproblemisaboutexcessiveuseoffoodadditives.Thedata broughtoutby USAgovernmentshowsthatthereareabout70,000,000peoplecaughtbyexperimentaldiseaseperyear.In1980th century,therearenearly300,000peoplefall ill becauseofhepatitis caused byeating rawMagi(毛甘)in Shanghai.Thesafetyoffoodstuffisasystematicengineering,whichnotonlyrelatestothe healthofmanbutisconnectedwiththeprofitoffoodsafety’smanagers.Thisessay mainlydoesaresearchonthegamebetweenproducersandconsumersofsafety foodstuff.Inordertochasemoreprofits,theproducers,asrationaleconomists,ina certainmaturesituation,may manipulateunfairlyimpelledbysomeluckypsychologyat the cost of all consumers’profits.Thewholeessayisdividedintofiveparts,thefirstchapterispreclude,whichmainlydiscussestheresearchbackground,profoundmeaning,methodaswellasthe thinkingthreadofthistopic.Inthesecondchapter,Idoaresearchonliteraturesfrom homeandabroad,andthenmakeasimplegeneralizationofthem.Besides,Iquotethe baseoftheory,lemonmarkingandgametheorythatisdividedintosignal transmutationsgameandBayesianequilibrium.Thethirdchapternotonlydescribes thecontemporaryphenome