信贷投放与经济增长关系分析——以安徽为例-analysis on the relationship between credit supply and economic growth - taking anhui as an example.docxVIP
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信贷投放与经济增长关系分析——以安徽为例-analysis on the relationship between credit supply and economic growth - taking anhui as an example
AbstractOurcountryisatthekeypointofeconomictransformationnowadays.Creditsupplyhasanextremelyimportantimpactforsustainableeconomicdevelopment.AnhuiprovinceincentralofChina,belongtounderdevelopedareas,thedevelopmentofthetaskisheavier,thedemandforcreditfundsismuchgreater.Inrecentyears,theAnhuiprovincehavebeenincreasingthecreditsupplyandprovidesmoreandmoresupporttothesustainedandrapiddevelopmentofeconomicsociety.Butoverall,thereexistvariouskindsofproblemsincreditmarketinAnhuiProvince.Thefunduseefficiencyalsoneedstobefurtherpromoted.Rightnow,thecreditsupplystillcannotsatisfythecreditdemandofeconomicdevelopmentinanall-roundway.ThispaperisacomprehensivestudyabouttheproblemsexistingincreditmarketofAnhuiProvince,aswellasthecompatibilityofcreditsupplywithregionaleconomicdevelopment.Thesetopicswillbediscussedfromtheoreticalperspectiveandfromempiricalperspective,qualitativelyandquantitatively.Firstofall,thispaperanalyzestheamountandstructureofcreditsupplyofAnhuiProvinceduringrecentyears,utilizingmethodsofstatisticaldescription,chartanalysisandcomparativeresearch.OurresultsindicatethatthecorrelationbetweencreditsupplyandGDPgrowthincreasessignificantly,andthatthecontributionofcreditsupplytoeconomicgrowthisimprovinggradually.Ourpaperpointsoutthat,comparingwithotherprovinces,astheimplementationofaseriousofregionaldevelopmentstrategies,theupsidepotentialofcreditsupplyandeconomicimprovementinAnhuiProvinceisbeinguncoveredstepbystep.Butwealsofigureoutsomeproblemswithrespecttothestructureofcreditsupplyandtheefficiencyofcapitalallocation.Next,thispaperempiricallystudiesthequantitativerelationshipbetweencreditsupplyandeconomicdevelopmentofAnhuiProvince.ViaeconometricalmethodandEVIEWS,wetakeGrangerTestoftotalsupplyofcreditandeconomicdevelopment.Resultsindicatethatsomerelationshipdoesexistbetweencreditsupplyandeconomicdevelopment.Ononeside,thereissignificantimpactofeconomicdevelopmentonIVcreditsupply,bothinshort-termandinlong-term.Ontheotherside,creditsupplyhaspositiveimpactoneconomicdevelo
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