基于电力GIS电动汽车充换电站规划智能决策系统.docVIP

基于电力GIS电动汽车充换电站规划智能决策系统 　　摘要： 随着电动汽车发展，眼下亟待解决的问题，是电动汽车“后勤保障”设施，而我国电动汽车充换电站设施的匮乏严重影响到电动汽车发展，因此电动汽车要发展首先要解决电动汽车充换电站选址的规划和决策问题。文中提出了基于 GIS 的电动汽车充换电站规划智能决策系统。将电动汽车充换电站规划决策划分3个层次，在此构建总体规划方案，并集成了GIS和人工智能技术，给出了该方法的一般性决策模型，为构建基于GIS的电动汽车充换电站规划智能决策支持系统提供了依据。 　　Abstract： The paper is aimed at introducing the decision making method， known as intelligent decision making method for The electric car filling in power station planning and management based on GIS. As we know， it is a fundamental method to overcome the difficulties brought by great chaos in the process of the service station management， which can only be improved by heightening the effectiveness of decision-making planning and management.Thus this paper has put forward the new method according to the characteristics and existent problems of electric car filling in power station management decision.The decision-making management system can be divided into three levels.Then the paper has put forward the general frame of the electric car filling in power station management system，with the planned strategic targets and decision analysis about respective links in the system being illustrated. Meanwhile， it is necessary to integrate the artificial intelligence with semi-structural and unstructured models of general planning through KBS to absorb the plentiful experience and knowledge accumulated for many years from planning experts so as to combine the quantitative calculation with the qualitative analysis to improve the ability of problem solving. 　　关键词： 决策方法；电动汽车；规划管理；GIS；人工智能 　　Key words： decision-making method；electric car；planning and management；geographic information system；artificial intelligence 　　中图分类号：U469.72 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-4311（2013）25-0031-03 　　0 引言 　　目前我国电动汽车产业发展还存在着诸多不确定性。电动汽车产业发展不如人意原因主要有：①缺乏对电动汽车产业发展规律的理性认识和对电动汽车产??扶持政策的定量和定性研究。②电动汽车产业的发展受到充电设施的严重制约。我国电动汽车产业仍处于商业示范阶段，离大规模推广还有很大差距。要发展电动汽车产业，必须先合理规划建设电动汽车充换电设施。而电动汽车充换电站的选址是电动汽车充换电设施建设首要解决的问题。文献[1]以我国电动汽车产业发展模式为研究对象，采用系统动力学的方法，提炼出对电动汽车产业发展其关系统动力学模型没有