TITLE Relative and absolute degradation rates for 20 PV 20 PV的亲属称谓与绝对的降解率.docVIP

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TITLE Relative and absolute degradation rates for 20 PV 20 PV的亲属称谓与绝对的降解率.doc

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TITLE Relative and absolute degradation rates for 20 PV 20 PV的亲属称谓与绝对的降解率

Subcontractor: Dr. Alex Cronin, University of Arizona NREL Contract 99043, “Study Degradation Rates of Photovoltaic (PV) Modules Deployed in Arizona” NREL Technical Monitor: Dr. Sarah Kurtz Description: Eighth Monthly Report Author: Steve Pulver and Alex Cronin Date: Jan 11, 2010 This report consists of a 3draft of our abstract for PVSC and some additional notes. PVSC abstracts are due by February 15th, 2010. The PVSC conference will be June 20 – 25, 2010. Our next monthly conference call is scheduled for this week Tuesday Jan 12 at 1pm. Alex’s office phone is (520) 626-3348 and his cell phone is: (520) 465-8459. Measuring Degradation Rates without Irradiance Data Steve Pulver, Daniel Cormode, Alex Cronin, Dirk Jordan, Sarah Kurtz, Ryan Smith We demonstrate a novel method to measure PV system degradation rates without using sensors for irradiance. By comparing the output of 20 PV systems over five years, we deduced rates of change for each system’s performance ratio [1] with very good precision and competitive accuracy. This is significant because distributed PV systems are often deployed with electric energy meters but no sensors for irradiance. With many such systems in a region, our method can provide absolute degradation rates. Most studies of degradation use irradiance data because annual insolation fluctuates by 15% (max to min over 20 years in Tucson), yet PV system degradation rates of interest are often as low as 0.5% per year. Furthermore, when reporting such small rates of change, the instability or calibration drift of an irradiance sensor often limits the accuracy with which PV systems can be monitored. Methods presented here overcome these problems. The fact that we can report relative degradation rates with high precision is no surprise, especially for PV systems located near the same address, facing the same direction, and operating simultaneously for several years. This amounts to using PV system yields as a proxy for irradiance. T