组合预测模型及其在负荷预测中的应用分析-combined forecasting model and its application in load forecasting.docxVIP

三 三 峡 大 学 全 日 制 专 业 学 位 硕 士 学 位 论 文 PAGE IV PAGE IV Abstract Power load forecasting is one of the basic works of power planning for cities. It provides necessary and basic data for power planning. The precision of these data decides the quality of power planning. So accurate forecasting is the objective of many people working for power system. There are lots of forecasting methods, and each one has its own applicable range. So its impossible for every method applicable to all situations. But combination forecasting method can combine the forecasting data resulted from kinds of single foreca