MAMS A Tool for Public Finance and Development Strategy：妈妈的工具，公共财政与发展战略.pptVIP

下载本文档

4
0
约2.48万字
约 46页
2018-09-18 发布于湖北
举报
版权申诉

MAMS A Tool for Public Finance and Development Strategy：妈妈的工具，公共财政与发展战略.ppt

1、原创力文档（book118）网站文档一经付费（服务费），不意味着购买了该文档的版权，仅供个人/单位学习、研究之用，不得用于商业用途，未经授权，严禁复制、发行、汇编、翻译或者网络传播等，侵权必究。。
2、本站所有内容均由合作方或网友上传，本站不对文档的完整性、权威性及其观点立场正确性做任何保证或承诺！文档内容仅供研究参考，付费前请自行鉴别。如您付费，意味着您自己接受本站规则且自行承担风险，本站不退款、不进行额外附加服务；查看《如何避免下载的几个坑》。如果您已付费下载过本站文档，您可以点击这里二次下载。
3、如文档侵犯商业秘密、侵犯著作权、侵犯人身权等，请点击“版权申诉”（推荐），也可以打举报电话：400-050-0827(电话支持时间：9:00-18:30)。
4、该文档为VIP文档，如果想要下载，成为VIP会员后，下载免费。
5、成为VIP后，下载本文档将扣除1次下载权益。下载后，不支持退款、换文档。如有疑问请联系我们。
6、成为VIP后，您将拥有八大权益，权益包括：VIP文档下载权益、阅读免打扰、文档格式转换、高级专利检索、专属身份标志、高级客服、多端互通、版权登记。
7、VIP文档为合作方或网友上传，每下载1次，网站将根据用户上传文档的质量评分、类型等，对文档贡献者给予高额补贴、流量扶持。如果你也想贡献VIP文档。上传文档

MAMS A Tool for Public Finance and Development Strategy：妈妈的工具，公共财政与发展战略

* * MDG-HDcut: key result is that, for the human development MDGs, the country achieves 91.6 percent of the increase required to meet the MDGs whereas, for the poverty objective, 102.6 percent of the required drop is achieved (i.e., a slight overachievement). MDG-INFcut: if the country maintains a 100% achievement rate for its human development MDGs while cutting spending on infrastructure, 89.3 percent of the required fall in poverty MDG is achieved. The driving force behind this outcome is that, during the simulation period, spending on infrastructure has a considerably stronger impact on GDP growth than spending in the human development area – annual GDP growth for MDG-HDcut is very close to MDG-Base whereas, for MDG-Infcut, there is a significant slowdown (by 0.5 percent in annual growth). This is partly because of the lag in the effect of human development on growth. * * * In an additional simulation, not reported elsewhere in this chapter, we let the productivity improvement of the government be doubled, to 3 percent per year. The result is a further strengthening of these outcomes: the PV of aid declines to $22.7 billion and the government GDP share in 2015 falls to 45.7 percent, without any significant impact on poverty reduction. * * * Government Mix: MDG-MIX The PV of total foreign aid 2006-2015 falls from US$30.9 billion to US$20.2 As a result of less foreign aid, the appreciation of the real exchange rate is less pronounced whereas export growth increases and import growth slows down. Huge increase in direct taxes From 6.3% of GDP in 2005 to close to 25% in 2015. Strong dampening impact on growth in household factor incomes, consumption, savings and investments Results in slower growth in the private capital stock and private GDP GDP falls from 5.2% under MDG-Base to 4.3% in this scenario. Government Mix: MDG-MIX (cont) Although the scenario MDG-Mix has a more realistic outcome for foreign aid, it has the drawbacks of reducing private and over-