基于云模型的道路交通安全等级评价.PDFVIP

第41卷 第8期 北 京 工 业 大 学 学 报 Vol.41 No.8 2015年 8月 JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OFTECHNOLOGY Aug. 2015 基于云模型的道路交通安全等级评价 李摇 雪,赵摇 宁,郑摇 晅 (长安大学 电子与控制工程学院,西安摇 710064) 摘摇 要:针对道路交通安全等级评价具有的模糊性和随机性特性,提出了道路交通安全等级云模型评价方法. 通 过分析道路交通安全的影响因素,确定评价指标及标准;计算出每个评价指标的云数字特征,生成各指标云模型; 评价实测数据,由最大隶属度的加权值确定道路安全等级. 对西安市二环路实测数据进行评价,评价结果为:东二 环、南二环、北二环路道路交通较安全,隶属度U(域)分别为:0郾4048、0郾6098和0郾4976;西二环路道路交通基本安 全,隶属度 U(芋)为0郾6212. 对比灰色评价法和模糊数学法,云模型法不仅能反映出道路交通安全等级,更能精确 反映所隶属等级的确定度. 关键词:交通运输系统工程;道路交通安全;云模型;评价指标;隶属度 中图分类号:U491郾5 文献标志码:A 文章编号:0254-0037(2015)08-1219-06 doi:10.11936/ bjutxb2014120076 Road Traffic Safety Evaluation Based on Cloud Mode LI Xue,ZHAO Ning,ZHENG Xuan (School of Electronic and Control Engineering,Chang爷an University,Xi爷an710064,China) Abstract:Acloudmodelevaluationmethodwasproposedaccordingtothecharacteristicsoffuzzinessand randomness in road traffic safety evaluation. The evaluation indexes and standards were determined by analyzing the factors effected road traffic safety. The cloud model of each factor on each level was generated by each factor爷s cloud digital characters. The road traffic safety levelswere determined by the weighted average value of the maximum membership. Data measured in the second ring road of Xi爷an were evaluated. The results showed that road traffic safety wasrelatively safe in East Second Ring,South Second Ring and North Second Ring,and the membership of U(域) were 0郾4048,0郾6098 and 0郾4976 respectively. Road traffic safety was basically safe in West Second Ring,and the membership of U(芋) was0郾6212. The results were compared with Grey evaluation method and Fuzzy Mathematics method. Not only the evaluation m