大学论文：GP预测方法的探讨.docVIP

GDP预测方法的探讨 国内生产总值GDP是核算体系中一个重要的综合性统计指标，也是中国新国民经济核 算体系中的核心指标，它反映一国的经济实力和市场规模.经过多年的研宄，前人也尝试 用多种方法尝试过对GDP的预测，但大多数方法都比较单一，说服性不强，本文将针对 1994-2011年的相关数据叙述几种具有代表性的预测方法.如一元线性回归预测法、多元 线性冋归预测法、趋势外推法，并对预测模型进行对比进而阐述个人观点. 关键词：GDP预测方法探讨 Discussion on GDP Prediction Method Zhou Jiyu Directed by Lecturer Jiang Shutao ABSTRACT Gross domestic product GDP is an important comprehensive statistical indicators of accounting system，and it is the core index of Chinese new national economic accounting system. GDP reflects economic strength and market scale of a country. After years of research，the former also try to