基于三角模糊ahp的项目融资决策模型 - 计算机工程与应用.pdfVIP

Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 2012 ，48 （11） 243 基于三角模糊AHP 的项目融资决策模型 李香花，王孟钧 LI Xianghua, WANG Mengjun 中南大学 土木建筑学院，长沙 410083 School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China LI Xianghua, WANG Mengjun. Decision model of project financing based on triangular fuzzy AHP. Comput- er Engineering and Applications, 2012, 48 （11）：243-248. Abstract ：A new infrastructure project financing decision model is constructed by systematically analyzing of proj- ect financing modes. It uses the hierarchical decomposition method to decompose the complex project financing mode decision problem and its corresponding evaluation indexes. It uses the Delphi method to evaluate these index- es. Because expert advice is characteristic of fuzzy and uncertainty, expert advice is converted into triangular fuzzy numbers by using the triangular fuzzy language variables. And the fuzzy decision judgment matrixes are construct- ed. Synthesis weights of all alternative models are obtained and the decisions are made by transforming the judge matrixes and calculating their vectors together with Analytical Hierarchy Process （AHP ）. The practical case shows that the proposed model provides a good method for the urban infrastructure project finance decision making. Key words ：triangular fuzzy numbers; Analytical Hierarchy Process （AHP ）; project financing; decision model 摘 要：通过对项目融资模式进行系统分析，构建了一个全新的基础设施项目融资模式决策模型。运用层次 分解法将复杂项目融资模式决策问题进行分解简化，采用德尔菲法专家打分对备选模式对应的分解指标进行 评价。针对专家意见具有模糊性和不确定性的特点，运用三角模糊语言变量，将专家意见转换成三角模糊数 并构建模糊决策判断矩阵，再结合层次分析法（AHP ）对判断矩阵进行模糊变换和向量计算，得到备选模式综 合权重并据以做出决策。最后进行实例验证，为城市基础设施项目融资提供决策参考。 关键词：三角模糊数；层次分析法（AHP ）；项目融资；决策模型 文章编号：1002-8331（2012 ）11-0243-06 文献标识码：A 中图分类号：C934 1 引言 础设施项目融资模式成为基础设施项目建设成败的 城市基础设施是城市发展的先行资本，它具有 一个关键因素。 时空性、基础性和消费性。城市基础设施项目具有 一些学者对基础设施项目融资问题进