合阳县地质灾害系统与防治区划研究-地质工程专业论文.docxVIP

Subject Subject ：The Study of Geological Disaster System and Prevention Compartment in Heyang Country Specialty：Geology Engineering Name ：LI Yu-ji(Signature) Instructor：YANG Mei-zhong fS ABSTRACT Heyang country is located in the east of Weibei loess plain in Guanzhong district of Shann’xi province and adjoint of Yellow River．Geological disaster often occur and strongly threaten human beings’life、wealth、safeness by the influence of geologic structure、 topographical gound feature、stratum rock gender、river and humanity engineering activity for years．This thesis study geological disaster ofHeyang in the point ofsystem． On the basis of out—site inspection and detailed analysis of geology data,the author summariesthe geologicaldisastertype、scaleanddevelopmentfeatureofHeyang country．Duo to Heyang country’geology conditions complexity、nature and factitious convulsion factors and each factor incident、航th one another intimately,single theory and analytic method already can’t satisfy requirement，So，Heyang country geological disaster must be study by one system． This thesis formalize geology disaster system’character-complexity relevance、 self-organization、fractal and catastrophe．Affecting factor*rainfall of the best of relevance grade is concluded in the use of grey relevance analysis and It provides reference of geology disaster prediction．This paper use the fractal theory to get the Heyang geological disaster system’dimension,which is 1．03．The parameter of special fractal feature、object geometric complexity and geometric dislribution relationship，get to quantification indicator of geological disaster system’complexity． In the stability evaluation and forecasting of the Heyung geological disaster，the author uses GM(1，1)model to forecast the displacement of the landslide，makes the performance of MAPGIS’spatial analysis forecasting the tendency ofthe disaster，and works out the figure of the disaster development．This paper finally works out the occurrence deci-district fi