合肥市科技进步对经济增长贡献率的实证研究-管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

合肥市科技进步对经济增长贡献率的实证研究摘要 合肥市科技进步对经济增长贡献率的实证研究 摘要 改革开发以来，社会经济日新月异，科学技术飞速发展，科学进步已成为 支撑经济发展的第一要素。合肥市近几年的经济发展有目共睹，其经济增长速 度一直稳居全国省会城市前列。作为国家唯一的创新型试点城市，其科技创新 能力也得到肯定。因此，深入研究科技进步对经济增长的贡献关系，并做出定 量的分析，对政府制定下一步的发展战略和宏观经济管理具有重要的指导意义。 本文研究内容主要包括两个部分： 一、理论研究。本文在科技进步与经济增长理论分析和测算方法分析的基 础上，界定了科技进步的内涵，并对测算模型的不足之处进行改进，弱化了弹 性系数假设对测算结果的影响。 二、实证研究。本文突出强调了原始数据采集的重要性，力求做到详尽、 完整、真实。进而采用实证研究方法，利用改进后的Cobb—Douglas生产函数模 型，按照第一产业、工业、第三产业和全社会的顺序，分产业对1999—2008年 间合肥市科技进步对经济增长的贡献作用进行研究。针对研究中反映出的问题， 结合合肥市科技的发展现状，提出了提高科技进步的几点对策建议。 关键词：生产函数；科技进步；科技进步贡献率 Empirical Empirical Research on the contribution Rate of Science and Technology Progress upon Hefei’s Economy Growth ABSTRACT Since the reform and development，socio-economic development passing each day,the rapid development of science and technology has become the first element of supporting economic development．In recent years，Hefei’S economic development is obvious to everyone，its economic growth rate has consistently ranked in the forefront of the national capital city．As the only national innovative pilot city,which scientific and technological innovation has also been affirmed． Therefore，in—depth study of scientific and technological progress in the relationship between the contribution to economic growth and to make quantitative analysis，which has important guiding significance．For government to formulate future development strategies and macroeconomic management． This paper mainly consists of two parts： 1．Theoretical research．On the basis of the analysis technological progress and economic growth theory and calculation methods，this paper defined the meaning of scientific and technological progress，improved the model’S shortcomings，and weakened the elasticity assumption on the measurement results． 2．Empirical research．This article emphasizes the importance of original data collection，tried to be comprehensive，complete and true．We study on the Effect of 1 999-2008 Scientific and Technological Progress on Hefei’S Economy Growth between different i