基于agent技术的决策支持系统的研究-计算机软件与理论专业论文.docxVIP

郑州大学硕士学位论．迎 郑州大学硕士学位论．迎 基于Agent技术的决策支持系统的研究 Abstract Since 1970’s，DSS(Decision Support System)has developed quickly,but these systems are almost domain-specific and isolated each other．In addition，more and more technique have been used in DSS since of the successful application of DSS in many area，thus the DSS become more and more big and complex and raise the problem ofhow to design such complex system． To solve the problems，this paper Bse the Agent technique in the design of DSS and puts forward Agent-Based DSS model(ABDSS)according to the Global Workspace theory．The ABDSS model view the DSS as platform of many decision support agents，each decision support agent can be either interface of existent DSS new decision support module that to be designed．Thus new DSS call be designed to associate the existent DSS，moreover,a complex system can be divided into many comparative small and simple systems to simplify the design of complex DSS． In this paper,we design a lottery forecast system as application ofABDSS． According to the flow ofdesigningAgent Based DSS，design oflottery forecast system includes three main content：communication mechanism，association mechanism and single agent design．In the end，the paper design simulative test to test the forecast ability ofthe system by the way ofcursory select and meticulous select，the result show that the system has certain applied value． Keywords：Decision support system，Global Workspace theory,agent，lottery forecast 11I V V 782767 郑重声明 本人的学位论文是在导师指导下独立撰写并完成的，学位论文没有剽 窃、抄袭等违反学术道德、学术规范的侵权行为，否则，本人愿意承担由 此产生的一切法律责任和法律后果，特此郑重声明。 学位论文 ㈣：秀弓缈 2，≤琴年‘冠{j B 邦州人学硕士学位论文 邦州人学硕士学位论文 基于Agent技术的决策支持系统的研究 1前言 决策支持系统，简称D s S(Decision Support System)，是计算机技术、人工智 能技术与管理技术相结合的一种新的管理信息技术。它通过人机对话等方式为决 策者提供了一个将知识性、主动性、创造性和信息处理能力相结合、定性与定量 相结合的工作环境，协助决策者分析问题、探索决策方法，进行评价、预测和选优。 决策支持系统的概念是1970年美国麻省理工学院Scott Morton教授在“管理决 策系统”一文中首次提出。时至今日，DSS已经成为计算机应用的一个非常活跃 的领域。本章主要从DSS产生发展、系统结构等方面进行一般性概括