保险业发展与经济增长的关系分析.doc

PAGE PAGE 2 本科生毕业论文（设计） 题　　目 泰安保险业发展与经济增长的关系分析 姓　　名 学号 院　　系 专　　业 指导教师 职称 年 月 日 目录 摘要································································1 关键词······························································1 Abstract···························································1 Key words··························································1 引言·······························································1 1理论分析··························································1 1.1 保险业务发展促进经济增长·······································2 1.2 经济增长促进保险业发展··········································2 1.3 样本数据指标说明···············································3 2 实例检验及分析···················································4 2.1 单位根检验·····················································4 2.2 协整检验·······················································5 2.3 格兰杰检验·····················································5 3结论及建议 ·······················································5 3.1 结论···························································5 3.2 建议···························································6 3.2.1 加大政府支持力度·············································6 3.2.2 健全保险市场体系·············································6 3.2.3 鼓励参与重大投资··············································6 3.2.4 调整保险产品结构··············································6 致谢································································7 参考文献····························································7 PAGE 1 泰安保险业发展与经济增长的关系分析 09级统计一班 指导老师 摘要：十八大以来，国家开始重点建设城镇居民医疗保险和新型农村合作医疗保险，以及正在逐步建设的新型农村社会养老保险，使得保险业蓬勃的发展，且保险业在促进经济发展和社会稳定等方面发挥着重要作用。本文通过泰安保险业的发展现状数据的观察与分析，借助计量经济学的分析软件eviews5.0，对保险深度、保险密度与GDP进行了格兰杰因果关系检验，定量分析了三者之间的相互作用，实证结果表明泰安市保险业与区域经济增长互为因果关系，并提出促进保险业发展的相关政策建议。 关键词：保险业的发展 经济增长 格兰