印度洋偶极子与中国南方夏季降水的可能联系Effectof-大气科学学报.PDF

31 6 V o.l 31 N o. 6 2008 12 Journa l o f N anjing Inst itute o fM eteoro logy Dec. 2008 , , . [ J] . , 2008, 31 6) : 836- 843. 唐卫亚, 孙照渤, 谭桂容 ( , 2 10044 ) : 利用 1951 2000 年N CEP/NCAR 再分析资料英国气象局全球海温资料中国气象局整编的 160站气温资料, 采用 EOF合成相关奇异值分解 方法讨论了印度洋偶极子 Indian O cean D -i pole, IOD ) 对南方夏季降水的影响结果表明: 印度洋海温异常, 激发了大气环流的异常, 从而导致 南方降水异常当印度洋海温一致变化时, 南方降水分布也呈 一致; 当印度洋上海温距平偶极振荡 时, 长江流域与华南也出现偶极变化的现象IOD 正位相年, 华南降水异常偏多; IOD 负位相年, 长 江流域降水偏多 : 印度洋海温; 偶极振荡; 降水异常; 中国南方 : P432. 6 : A : 1000-2022 2008) 06-0836-08 Effect of IndianOcean Dipole on RainfallAnomaly in South ofChina TANG W e-i ya, SUN Zhao-bo, TAN G u-i rong K ey Laboratory of M eteorological D isaster of M inistry of E du cation, NU IST, N anjing 2 10044, Ch ina) Abstract: Based on the N CEP /NCAR reana lysis, B rit ish M eteorolog ical O ffice g lobal sea surface tem per- ature SST ) and Ch ina 160 stations tem pera ture data during 1951 2000, the em pirical orthogonal func- t ion EOF), com posite analysis, correlat ion and singular value decomposition SVD) m ethods are u sed to study the effect o f the Ind ian O cean D ipo le IOD ) on South o f China ra infa ll in Ch ina south of 33N ). Results show that the SST anom aly in Indian Ocean aroses the atm ospheric circulat ion anom a ly, w hich in- duces the rainfa ll anom a ly in South Ch ina. W hen Ind ian Ocean SST is higher low er) , South China ra infall is m ore less) than the norm al. W hen IOD is posit ive nega tive) , the precipitation is mo re less) in South China and less m ore) in the Y angtze R iver Basin. Key ords: SST in Ind ian O cean; dipo