2013年国际宏观经济形势展望报告.pdf

2012 12 26 010-8832 1913 Email liam@ S1190511040002 2012.9 2012 4 2013 2013 3.6% 1993-2004 10 3.9% 2012 2012 2014 2013 6000 2012.62012 3 2013 2013 GDP 2.1% 7.5%2013 2013 2012.3 GDP 2013 12%2014 2012 2013 GDP 2012 2011.12 2012 2011. 2011 4 2013 2012 4 50 3% 7 2013 8 () 2012 8 () 2013 15 () 17 22 25 1OECD 4 2 JPMORGAN 5 3 JPMORGAN PMI GDP 5 4 VIX 6 5 2012 %2012.12.25 7 6 50 GDP 8 7 50 OECD OECD % 8 8 GDP 100% 11 9 GDP %2011 11 101995-2005 12 11 12 1290 13 13 13 14 14