考虑调峰适应性风险的风电场群时序规划方法-中国电机工程学报.PDF

第 32 卷 第 7 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.32 No.7 Mar.5, 2012 14 2012 年 3 月 5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2012 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 0258-8013 (2012) 07-0014-09 TM 71 A 470 40 文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码： 学科分类号： ⋅ 考虑调峰适应性风险的风电场群时序规划方法 张粒子，凡鹏飞，麻秀范，蔡学文 (华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院，北京市 昌平区 102206) Timing Planning Method for Investment of Clustering Wind Farms Considering Risk of Peak Load Regulation ZHANG Lizi, FAN Pengfei, MA Xiufan, CAI Xuewen (School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China) ABSTRACT: To solve timing planning problem of clustering 性风险评估方法；采用期权组合价值衡量风电场群投资时序 wind farms, a method was proposed which could orchestrate 的经济性，并建立考虑学习效应的经济价值评估模型。建立 investment economy of wind farms and adaptability risk of 将投资经济性和调峰适应性风险有机统一的双层规划模型， peak-load regulation by the investment timing coordination of 并引入风险当量系数赋予模型罚因子明确的技术经济意义。 wind farms and general units. The relationship between 将遗传算法与随机模拟相结合实现对模型的求解。算例验证 investment and operation of wind farms and units was depicted 了模型和方法的有效性。 with investment timing matrix and operation state matrix. The 关键词：风电场群；时序规划；双层规划；调峰；适应性 index of value at risk (VaR) of peak-load regulating capacity 风险 vacancy was presented to measure the adaptability risk and risk assessment method considering correlation of wind speed was 0 引言 proposed. The value of options portfolio was introduced to