一种多元台风时间序列的相似性度量方法.PDF

/article/02-2019-03-007.html 计算机应用研究 一种多元台风时间序列的相似性度量方法 * 1 1 1† 2 黄冬梅 ，郑 霞 ，赵丹枫 ，王丽琳 (1. 上海海洋大学 信息学院, 上海 201306; 2. 国家海洋局东海预报中心, 上海 200129) 摘 要：台风相似性度量方法的研究对防灾减灾、辅助决策等具有重要意义。目前，台风相似性的研究大多集中在台 风路径的相似性度量上。首先，梳理影响台风相似性度量的多个要素，提出了基于多元时间序列的台风数据描述方法； 其次，提出了台风时间序列完整性、一致性评估与修复方法；最后，针对台风时间序列的不等长问题，设计了一种基 于主成分分析和动态时间弯曲距离的相似性度量方法。通过实验验证，该方法能够实现台风相似性的有效度量。 关键词：相似性度量；多元时间序列；完整性；一致性；权值计算；动态时间弯曲 中图分类号：TP391 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-3695.2017.09.0910 Similarity measure method of multiple typhoon time series 1 1 1 1† 2 v Huang Dongmei , Zheng Xia , Zhao Danfeng , Wang Lilin 8 (1. College of Information, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China; 2. East ChinaSeaForecast Centerof State 9 3 Oceanic Administration, Shanghai 200129, China) 0 0 Abstract: The research on similarity measure of typhoon is significant to disaster prevention and auxiliary decision -making. At . 5 present, the similarity researches on typhoon mostly focus on the path . First, this paper combed the elements of similarity 0 measure of typhoon and using multivariate time series to describe the typhoon due to the space -time and multi-factor 8 1 characteristics of it. Second, it gave one method to measure and repair integrity and consistency of typhoon time series. Finally, 0 in the view of unequal length of typhoon time series, this paper designed a method of similarity measure based on Principal 2 : Component Analysis and weighted dynamic time warping distance . Through the experiment