金属矿山工程地质灾害的评估研究-采矿工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘 摘 要 金属矿山工程地质灾害受到人为活动条件、气候植被条件、地形地貌条件、地 质条件及历史灾害发生的规模、频次、密度等许多因素的影响，由于不同范围地质 灾害灾情评估的精度要求不同，指示工程地质灾害活动程度的要素不同，所以矿山 评估的内容和方法也多种多样。因此对矿山进行评估方法的研究具有重要意义。为 了正确评估矿山的危险性和破坏损失，本课题在分析工程地质灾害基本属性的基础 上，通过对金属矿山实际调研，搜集至4金属矿山工程地质灾害的历史灾害资料和潜 在灾害的实际数据，对引起金属矿山工程地质灾害的各种因素，运用层次分析法和 模糊数学相结合的原理进行综合分析，建立了金属矿山综合危险性评估模型，并将 金属矿山的危险性划分为稳定、次稳定、危险、极危险四个等级：通过对矿山的破 坏损失评估，用概率分析方法建立了破坏损失模型，把灾害损失程度和生命损失程 度均划分为低、中、高三个等级；并对国内24个金属矿山的工程地质灾害采用综合 危险性评估模型和破坏损失模型进行了评判，根据各个矿山的实际评判结果，选取 了撮优化防治措施。 利用模型对各个矿山的分析评判不仅表明了层次分柝法、模糊数学分析方法和 概率分析法适用于对金属矿山的安全评估，而且为金属矿山工程地质灾害的预防发 生和实施治理提供了科学依据和技术可行性。由此可见，层次分析法、模糊数学方 法和概率分析法在系统评估方面有着非常广泛的应用价值。 关键词：地质灾害危险性综合评估层次分析法模糊数学概率分析 AbstractGeological Abstract Geological disasters of metal mille is influenced by a lot of factors such as human activity,climate,vegetation,landform，terrain,condition and the scale，frequency,density， of historical calamity ete。Since geological disasters of different scope required precision ofassessment is diversity and indication ofelement factor ofactivity degree ofgeological disasters is diversity，mine assessment has a lot of different contents and means and the research to proceeds valuation method to mine has a great ofmeaning．In order to correct appraising the risk and destruction of mine，this subject,through actual investigating into、 metal mine，collecting much data which is about the llimofieal calamity and laten disastets， which basiced on analysing the base attribute of geological disasters established the model ofrisk synthesized assessment and divided the risk ofmetal mine into four grades which are stability second stability dangerous very dangerous，which used the level ofanalytical method to proceeds with fuzzing mathematics principle to synthesize analysised the kinds of factors of oking geological disasters；this subject,through appraising the distruction of mine，established distractive model which used probabilistic method and divided the loss degree of disaster and the loss degree of life into lOW,middle，high three grades；this subject,