含风电场电力系统概率潮流计算的研究-电力电子与电力传动专业论文.docxVIP

含风 含风电场电力系统概率潮流计算的研究 兰州 兰州交通大学硕士学位论文 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 Abstract In recent years, because of the development of new energy power generation technologies, particularly the large-scale application of wind power technology, and because of wind power technology itself random characteristics, the safe and stable operation of the power grid soon meet a new problem. Especially after the large-scale wind farms connected to the power system, the impact on safe and stable operation of the power grid is more obvious. Adding some uncertainties affecting the power system such as generator power output, load changes, line fault etc. bring new problems in power flow calculation. Ideas and methods of common power flow calculation can not suit the new requirements, considering the probability of random factors affecting the calculation of trend analysis methods have been developed and applied. Probabilistic load flow calculation is the combination of probability theory and the power flow calculation, using probability theory to analyze the load flow of power system. The common power flow calculation can get the exact value of voltage and the power, however, probabilistic load flow calculation method can give the characteristics of probability and statistics of power system voltage and power distribution, analysis the probability and the expected probability of node voltage and branch power probability in some range using probability statistical perspective. This has important implications for the power system planning and design and stability assessment. In the probabilistic load flow calculation, the network topology system is usually assumed unchanged, and the branch is independent of each other. Although such treatments can simplify calculation, the results have a certain error. Because of the influences of various factors of the actual power system, and the branch of external or self generated random failure, caused the change of network topology; and branch fault caused impact