可持续经济发展视野中的生态承载力研究-生物学 生态学专业毕业论文.docxVIP

development development trends and theft differences． 4．Based the ECC and evaluation of indicators and the emergy EF method，the eco-pressure index of mathematical models and analysis methods are proposed．The of the proposed new system of quantitative indicators and dynamic analysis model in time series the ECC to carry out an empirical study of Gansu Province in 1980-2006 of the calculation and analysis of the province，the ecological budget time dynamic development trends，results showed that：Since 1993， the provinces EF than the ECC,the state is ecological deficit．The per capita ECC was sustained in 1980—2006 to reduce the trend，the scissors difference of per capita EF and ECC in 1980-2006 in the province increases every year．This show that the two trends of the EF and ECC is growing the same period．These conclusions are that the ECC in Gansu Province in the year-on-year gap between supply and demand gap，eco-overload volume increases every year, people in the growing contradiction,human嘴of natural assets have far exceeded the threshold of ECC of Gansu Province in the overall state of unsustainable development． For the next 14 years，the paper predicts the ECC of the evaluation index and ecological budget time to the dynamic trend analysis in Gansu province．The results showed that in the next 14 years in Gansu province ECC for,and development trend of the differences will continue to increase．The per capita ecological deficit will continue to increase year by year,eco-overload is becoming increasingly serious．To change this trend of development in Gansu province，mail must gradually reduce construction sites and fossil energy consumption，based the of scientific and technological advances constantly improve productivity levels，to achieve future sustainable development． 5．Combining quantitative of emergy EF and the EVR model and the information diffusion model，this paper carries example research ERA based the emergy EF in the ecosystem． The paper calculates the emergy v