交通规划模型__中美理论与实践之比较资料.pptVIP

data inputs growth Forecasting land-use data such as HH, Emp highway coding travel time, distance, cost on highway links transit coding transit time, distance, fare on transit routes feedback loop highway skimming time/cost by mode TDZ to TDZ AM/PM/OP transit skimming time/fare by mode TAP to TAP AM/PM/OP utility calculation composite utility TDZ to TDZ by travel purpose vehicle factoring trip distribution hwy assignment second stage transit skimming highway skimming mode choice trnst trips by mode TAP to TAP AM/PM/OP transit volumes on transit routes AM/PM/OP transit assignment hwy trips by mode TAZ to TAZ AM/PM/OP hwy assignment highway volumes on highway links AM/PM/OP post processing first stage trip generation person trips MGRA/TAZ/TDZ travel purposes highway skimming generalized costs TAZ to TAZ by travel purpose trip distribution daily person trips TAZ to TAZ by travel purpose vehicle factoring hwy trip by mode TAZ to TAZ AM/PM/OP hwy assignment highway volumes on highway links AM/PM/OP - 细化 ? 步骤分解化 - 细化 ? 空间层次化 ? Spatial 80,000 parcels 33,353 master geographic reference area (MGRA) 4,600 traffic analysis zones (TAZ) 2,000 traffic distribution zones (TDZ) 2,500 transit access points (TAP) - 细化 ? 时间分段化 ? Temporal AM Peak Period (6:00 am – 9:00 am) Mid-Day Period (9:00 am – 3:00 pm) PM Peak Period (3:00 pm – 6:00 pm) Off Peak Period (6:00 pm – 6:00 am) - 细化 ? 网络具体化 ? Network 340,000 highway network links 10 network facility types 8 auto modes 5 transit modes 3 transit access modes 3 发展方向? 基于行为的模型(activity-based model) □美国现状和发展方向 NY SF Seattle Columbus Denver Atlanta Sacramento Bay Area Oregon Ohio SD Lake Tahoe In use already Coming in 2014 ? 收集数据 - 误区：OD调查 ? 数据类型 - 相对稳定性数据：出行次数/时间(长)/目的/方式/…… - 经常变动性数据：人口/住宅/就业/…… 道路网/汽车/交通量/…… □国内模型的误区和瓶颈 - 数据 - 地理信息系统 ? 相对稳定的分区系统 - 分区用地：类型/数量 - 人口/住宅/就业 ? 道路网路 - 路段/交叉口/属性 - 交通量/速度 □国内模型的误区和瓶颈 □对国内模型开发的建议 - 区域模型 ?