Ch17 Model Building 商务统计学概论(英文第四版)教学课件 Introduction to Business Statistics.pptVIP

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Ch17 Model Building 商务统计学概论(英文第四版)教学课件 Introduction to Business Statistics.ppt

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CHAPTER 17Model Building to accompany Introduction to Business Statistics fourth edition, by Ronald M. Weiers Presentation by Priscilla Chaffe-Stengel Donald N. Stengel ? 2002 The Wadsworth Group Chapter 17 - Learning Objectives Build polynomial regression models to describe curvilinear relationships Apply qualitative variables representing two or three categories. Use logarithmic transforms in constructing exponential and multiplicative models. Identify and compensate for multicollinearity Apply stepwise regression Select the most suitable among competing models Polynomial Models with One Quantitative Predictor Variable Simple linear regression equation: Equation for second-order polynomial model: Equation for third-order polynomial model: Equation for general polynomial model: Polynomial Models with Two Quantitative Predictor Variables First-order model with no interaction: First-order model with interaction: Second-order model with no interaction: Second-order model with interaction: Models with Qualitative Variables Equation for a model with a categorical independent variable with two possible states: where state 1 is shown x = 1 where state 2 is shown x = 0 Equation for a model with a categorical independent variable with three possible states: where state 1 is shown x1 = 1, x2 = 0 where state 2 is shown x1 = 0, x2 = 1 Where state 3 is shown x1 = 0, x2 = 0 Models with Data Transformations Exponential Model: General equation for an exponential model: Corresponding linear regression equation for an exponential model: Multiplicative Model: General equation for a multiplicative model: Corresponding linear regression equation for a multiplicative model: Example, Problem 17.8 International Data Corporation has reported the following costs per gigabyte of hard drive storage space for years 1995 through 2000. Using x = 1 through 6 to represent years 1995 through 2000, fit a second-order polynomial model to the data and estimate t