基于三角模糊数的软件项目风险评估.docVIP

译文 西 安 邮 电 学 院 毕 业 设 计（论 文） 题 目： 基于三角模糊数的软件项目风险评估 院 （系）： 通信与信息工程学院 专 业： 电子信息科学与技术 班 级： 电科0703班 学生姓名： 范文超 导师姓名： 兰蓉 职称： 讲师 起止时间： 2011年1月 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON FUZZY SYSTEMS, VOL. 11, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2003 45 Fuzzy Risk Analysis Based on Similarity Measures of Generalized Fuzzy Numbers Shi-Jay Chen and Shyi-Ming Chen, Senior Member, IEEE Abstract—In this paper, we present a new method for fuzzy risk analysis based on similarity measures of generalized fuzzy numbers. Firstly, we present a method called the simple center of gravity method (SCGM) to calculate the center-of-gravity (COG) points of generalized fuzzy numbers. Then, we use the SCGM to propose a new method to measure the degree of similarity between generalized fuzzy numbers. The proposed similarity measure uses the SCGM to calculate the COG points of trapezoidal or triangular generalized fuzzy numbers and then to calculate the degree of similarity between generalized fuzzy numbers. We also prove some properties of the proposed similarity measure and use an example to compare the proposed method with the existing similarity measures. The proposed similarity measure can overcome the drawbacks of the existing methods. We also apply the proposed similarity measure to develop a new method to deal with fuzzy risk analysis problems. The proposed fuzzy risk analysis method is more flexible and more intelligent than the existing methods due to the fact that it considers the degrees of confidence of decisionmakers’ opinions. Index Terms—Center-of-gravity (COG) points, fuzzy risk anal-ysis, generalized fuzzy numbers, similarity measures. I. INTRODUCTION HE traditional center-of-gravity (COG) method [25] is  In this paper, we also present a new method to calculate the degree of similarity between fuzzy numbers based on COG points of fuzzy numbers. The proposed similarity