毕业论文--城市消防站选址模型及其应用研究 .docVIP

本科毕业论文（设计） 本科毕业论文（设计） PAGE III 毕业论文（设计） 题目 城市消防站选址模型及其应用研究 学 号 姓 名 系 队 专 业 指导教师 二○一○年五月  PAGE IV PAGE III 武本科毕业论文（设计） PAGE I 摘 要 随着我国经济建设的迅速发展和城市化进程的加快，火灾和各种抢险救援任务逐年呈上升趋势。目前，现有城市消防站数量明显不足，保护面积过大，迫切需要改建和新建消防站。站址的选择是城市消防站建设面临的首要问题，其决策应与城市发展规划协调一致，在确保消防站正常运行的同时尽可能降低投入成本，以满足日益繁重复杂的应急救援任务需求。但在实际操作中，以往的消防站选址往往根据决策者的主观臆断，缺乏量化的科学依据。为了降低运行费用，提高工作效率，在消防站选址决策过程中引入科学论证方法进行量化评价辅助决策，对于合理地选择消防站站点具有重要意义。 本文鉴于传统城市消防站选址模型中只考虑时间或距离单一条件的缺陷，全面分析了影响消防站选址的各种因素，依照指标体系建立原则，建立包括经济、时间、距离等因素的消防站选址指标体系，并结合熵权法确定指标综合权重;应用物元分析理论，构建了基于模糊物元分析的消防站选址模型。实例应用计算的结果表明该模型应用于城市消防站选址是可行的，为消防站选址决策的最优化提供了一种有效的分析方法和依据。 关键词: 城市消防站; 选址模型; 模糊物元分析  Abstract With the rapid development of economic construction and the acceleration of urbanization process, the missions of fire and rescue are increasing year by year. At present, the existing urban fire stations are obviously inadequate and their protection areas are too large, so it is urgent to rebuild and upgrade the fire stations. The choice of fire station location is the Primary problem of city fire station construction, the decision shall be consistent with the urban development planning, to ensure the normal operation of the fire control station while minimizing input costs, to meet the increasing pressure of complex task needs of emergency rescue. However, in practice, fire station locating is identified by decision makers’ subjective assume, lack of quantificational scientific. In order to reduce operating costs, improve efficiency, decision-making process at the fire station site to introduce scientific proof method, quantitative evaluation of assisted decision-making, rational choice of fire station location is very necessary. In the paper, with respect to the defects for the traditional model of a single time or risk evaluation factor, consider various factors which influence fire station locating, in accordance with the principle of index system’s establishing, establish fire station location i