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ECONOMICS
GLOBAL
Q2 2017
By: Janet Henry and James Pomeroy
Global Economics
Drivers and riders
Amid the most synchronised global
upturn for years…
…China and the US are once again
the drivers of growth…
…while the world’s surplus
economies ride on their coat-tails
Play video with
Janet Henry
Disclaimer Disclosures: This report must be read with the disclosures and the analyst
certifications in the Disclosure appendix, and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it
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ECONOMICS ● GLOBAL
Q2 2017
Executive Summary
More normal
Two US rate rises in three months. The last time that the Fed saw the need to take such action
was more than a decade ago in the first half of 2006. Little wonder then that talk of a return to
“normality” is rife. Global growth is picking up and inflation has risen. Inevitably there is a sense
that things are finally returning to a “more normal” environment whereby the extraordinary world
of near-zero rates and frequent doses of quantitative easing may no longer be required to
sustain even a mediocre expansion. A halt to ECB QE next year actually seems plausible.
The global c
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