Deterrence and Defense in “The Second Nuclear Age”英文精品课件.pdfVIP

A N A L Y S I S C E N T E R P A P E R S March 2009 Deterrence and Defense in “The Second Nuclear Age” BY ROBERT P. HAFFA , JR . RAVI R. HICHKAD DANA J. J OHNSON PHILIP W. PRATT A N A L Y S I S C E N T E R P A P E R S CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION : DETERRENCE AND DEFENSE 3 DEFINING “THE SECOND NUCLEAR AGE”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