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174. A recent sales study indicates that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent during the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants whose specialty is seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about healthful eating. Therefore, the new Captain Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood should be quite popular and profitable.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be addressed in order to decide whether the conclusion and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to the questions would help to evaluate the conclusion.
The arguer concludes that a new Bay City restaurant specializing in seafood would be both popular and profitable. To justify this conclusion the argument points out that seafood consumption in Bay City’s restaurants has risen by 30% during the last five years. Also, the argument cites a national survey showing that two-income families, which occupy a large percentage in the city, eat out more often and express more concern about eating healthily than they did ten years ago. I find the argument unpersuasive, for several reasons.
First, could a 30% increase in seafood consumption at Bay City restaurants necessarily indicate a sufficient demand for a new Bay City restaurant serving seafood dishes only? Although a 30% increase seems significant, the actual level of consumption might nevertheless be very low. This scenario is quite possible, especially considering that there are currently no seafood restaurants in Bay City. Lacking evidence that a significant number of the city’s restaurant patrons are ordering seafood, the argument’s conclusion that a new seafood restaurant would be popular and profitable is unj
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