河北省人口老龄化对经济发展影响的研究.docxVIP

PAGE PAGE 18 摘要 人口老龄化问题影响着中国发展的各个方面。自21世纪初以来，中国已不入人口老龄化，人口老龄化的问题影响国情。人口老龄化加重了社会负担，劳动人口大大降低，储蓄和消费限制，社会养老保险制度负担过重，情况非常困难。 本文采用年鉴数据分析老龄化对经济增长供给的影响。 采用格兰杰因果关系检验和回归模型分析对河北省人口老龄化进行分析。一是加快经济发展，从根本上减少老龄化造成的社会压力，二是最大限度地利用老年人的资源，利用老年人，注重老年人的发展。这是一个行业。改善老年人社会保障，提高全社会意识，促进老年人法制建设。 关键词：人口老龄化；河北省；经济增长 Abstract The problem of population aging affects all aspects of Chinas development. Since the beginning of the 21st century, China has entered an aging stage, and the problem of population aging has become increasingly serious. The aging of the population has intensified the social burden, labor shortage, labor productivity, savings and consumption restrictions, and the social pension insurance system is overburdened. The situation is very difficult. This paper uses yearbook data and Leff model to analyze the impact of population aging on labor and savings, and analyze the impact of aging on economic growth supply. The Granger causality test and regression model analysis were used to analyze the population aging in Hebei Province. The empirical analysis of urban and rural residents consumption levels and consumption patterns puts forward countermeasures against the aging of Hebei Province. First, accelerate economic development, fundamentally reduce the social pressure caused by aging, and second, make maximum use of the resources of the elderly, use the elderly, and pay attention to the development of the elderly. This is an industry. Improve the social security of the elderly, raise the awareness of the whole society, and promote the legal system for the elderly. Key words: population aging; Hebei Province; economic growth; impact 目录 TOC \o 1-3 \u 一、引言 5 （一）研究背景和意义 5 1.研究背景 5 2.研究意义 5 （二）国内外研究现状 6 1.国外研究现状 6 2.国内研究现状 6 二、河北省人口老龄化现状和发展趋势分析 8 （一）河北省人口老龄化现状和特点 8 1.河北省人口老龄化现状 8 （二）河北省人口老龄化的主要影响因素 11 三、人口老龄化对河北经济增长影响的实证分析 13 （一）指标选取和数据说明 13 1.指标选取13 2.数据说明13 （二）模型介绍 14 （三）实证分析 14 1.单位根检验 14 2.协整检验 15 3.格兰杰因果检验 17 4.线性回归17 （四）结论 18 四、应对河北省人口老龄化的对策