美国电力系统演变和基础设施发展的情景（英）-122正式版.pdf

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Power System Evolution and Infrastructure Development for the United States Caitlin Murphy, Trieu Mai, Yinong Sun, Paige Jadun, and Matteo Muratori, National Renewable Energy Laboratory Brent Nelson, Northern Arizona University Ryan Jones, Evolved Energy Research NOTICE This work was authored in part by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, operated by Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC36- 08GO28308. Funding provided by U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Office of Strategic Programs. The views expressed in the article do not necessarily represent the views of the DOE or the U.S. Government. This report is available at no cost from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) at /publications. U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) reports produced after 1991 and a growing number of pre- 1991 documents are available free via www.OSTI.gov . Cover image from iStock 452033401. NREL prints on paper that contains recycled content. Preface This report is one in a series of Electrification Futures Study (EFS) publications. The EFS is a multiyear research project to explore potential widespread electrification in the future energy system of the United States. Electrification is defined as the substitution of electricity for direct combustion of non-electricity-based fuels used to provide similar services. The EFS is specifically designed to examine electric technology advancement and adoption for end uses in the major economic sectors of the United States, electricity consumption growth and load profiles, future power s