TED中英官方演讲稿-JuanEnriquez_2009令人吃惊的新科技.docxVIP

1.Theres a great big elephant in the room called the economy. 经济是个重要，而又常被避开的话题。2.So lets start talking about that. 让我们来聊下它。3.I wanted to give you current picture of the economy. 我想给你们看看目前的经济状况。4.Thats what I have behind myself. 这是我自己身后的东西。5.(Laughter) But of course what we have to remember is this. 笑声 言归正传，当然我们需要记住的,6.And what you have to think about is, when youre dancing in the flames, whats next? 并且你们需要思考的是, 当你们在热焰上跳舞，后面会发生什么？7.So what Im going to try to do in the next 17 and a half minutes is Im going to talk first about the flames -- where we are in the economy -- 所以在接下来的17.5分钟里，我着意要做的是 首先要谈一谈这火焰 目前我们所处的经济状况8.and then Im going to take three trends that have taken place at TED over the last 25 years and that will take place in this conference 接着我要提出三个趋势 这三个趋势已经在过去25年的TED大会上提到过 也会在这次的会议上涉及9.and I will try and bring them together. 并且我会尝试把它们联系到一起。10.And I will try and give you a sense of what the ultimate reboot looks like. 同时尝试展示给你们看终极的复苏会是怎样的。11.Those three trends are the ability to engineer cells, the ability to engineer tissues and robots. 这三个趋势是 细胞工程 组织工程 机器人工程12.And somehow it will all make sense. 并且大家都会理解13.But anyway, lets start with the economy. 不过，我们还是从经济讲起吧14.Theres a couple of really big problems that are still sitting there. 有一些非常大的问题仍然存在15.One is leverage. 一个是杠杆化16.And the problem with leverage is it makes the U.S. financial system look like this. 杠杆化的问题是 它把美国的财政系统弄成了这个样子17.(Laughter) So, a normal commercial bank has nine to 10 times leverage. （笑声） 一个普通的商业银行有9到10倍18.That means for every dollar you deposit it loans out about nine or 10. 这意味着你存进银行的每一块钱都能贷出大约9或者10块19.A normal investment bank is not a deposit bank, its an investment bank; it has 15 to 20 times. 一个普通的投资银行不是存款银行， 它是一个投资银行； 有着大约15到20倍。20.It turns out that B of A in September had 32 times. 结果美洲银行在9月份是32倍。21.And your friendly Citibank had 47 times. 花旗银行有47倍。22.Oops. 喔哦。23.That means every bad loan goes bad