时间序列分析在四川省居民城乡收入差距中的运用.pdfVIP

时间序列分析在四川省居民城乡收入差距中的运用 陈蜜 摘要：随着经济的飞速发展，怎样缩小城乡收入差距已成为许多学者的研究热点。 本文采取描述分析与实证分析相结合的方式，将选取2005-2017年时间序列数据， 对影响四川省城乡居民收入差距的原因进行实证分析。结果表明，增加农村居民 收入、加大政府财政支出、促进城镇化水平的提高、户籍制度的改革、二元经济 结构的改善均有利于降低城乡收入差距。因此，提出相关提高农村收入的举措， 促进新型城镇化建设，打破城乡二元结构。政府应在发展战略上，统筹协调农业 的工业化、城市化和现代化建设，加快建立以工业促进农业，把农村带入城市的 长效机制，全面落实加强农业、促进农业发展的政策，提高对“三农”政策的支 持力度。并根据省内地域差异，发展区域特色产业，如旅游业、食品业，大力推 动三大产业升级改造，以提高农村居民收入来缩小四川地区居民城乡收入差距。 关键词：城乡收入差距；二元经济结构；居民收入；三农问题 Application of time series analysis in the income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan ChenMi School of Mathematics and Information, Major in Statistics Grade 2016 Instructor: Liyunfei Abstract ：With the rapid development of the economy, how to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas has become a research focus of many scholars. This article uses a combination of descriptive analysis and empirical analysis, and will select 2005-2017 time series data to conduct an empirical analysis of the reasons that affect the income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province. The results show that increasing the income of rural residents, increasing government fiscal expenditure, promoting the improvement of urbanization, reforming the household registration system, and improving the dual economic structure are conducive to reducing the urban-rural income gap. Therefore, relevant measures to increase rural income are proposed to promote new urbanization and break the dual urban-rural structure. In the development strategy, the government should coordinate and coordinate the industrialization, urbanization and modernization of agriculture, accelerate the establishment of a long-term mechanism for