基于VMD混合多尺度机器学习模型的碳排放权价格预测.docxVIP

基于VMD混合多尺度机器学习模型的碳排放权价格预测

目录

1.内容概要................................................3

1.1背景与研究意义.......................................3

1.2研究内容与目标.......................................4

1.3技术路线与方法.......................................5

2.相关理论与技术基础......................................6

2.1碳排放权市场概述.....................................7

2.2机器学习基本原理.....................................9

2.3小波变换与VMD分解...................................10

2.4多尺度分析方法......................................12

3.数据采集与预处理.......................................13

3.1数据来源与工具......................................14

3.2数据清洗与整理......................................15

3.3特征工程............................................16

4.基于VMD的碳排放权价格分解..............................17

4.1VMD算法详解.........................................18

4.2基于VMD分解的信号重构...............................19

4.3分解结果分析........................................21

5.混合多尺度机器学习模型设计.............................22

5.1机器学习模型选型....................................24

5.2多尺度数据融合策略..................................25

5.3模型集成方法........................................26

6.模型训练与验证.........................................27

6.1训练实验设计........................................28

6.2算法参数选择........................................29

6.3训练结果分析........................................31

6.4验证与测试方法......................................32

7.实验结果与分析.........................................33

7.1实验数据............................................35

7.2实验设置............................................35

7.3结果展示与讨论......................................37

7.4模型性能评估........................................38

8.应用前景与政策建议.....................................39

8.1模型应用前景........................................40

8.2政策建议............................................41

8.3研究局限与未来展望..................................42

9.结论与总结.............................................43

9.1研究结论..............