【研报】世界银行-缅甸：粮食不安全加剧背景下的农业韧性（英）-2024.docx

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CONTENTS

CONTENTS

ListofFigures ii

ListofTables iii

ListofBoxes iii

AbbreviationsandAcronyms iv

Acknowledgments v

EXECUTIVESUMMARY 1

BURMESEEXECUTIVESUMMARY 6

INTRODUCTION 11

ECONOMICOVERVIEW 12

FOODSECURITY 15

PRODUCTION 32

PRICES 40

TRADE 45

OUTLOOK 53

REFERENCES 55

ANNEX 58

MethodologicalNotes 58

SupplementaryFiguresandTables 64

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CONTENTS

ListofFigures

Figure1:Farmhouseholds’self-reportingonfoodsecuritystatus(percentageofhouseholds) 15

Figure2:Foodpriceandprojectionsforselectedcommodities 19

Figure3:Overallfindingsforhouseholds’foodaccesswithinthelastweek(percentage) 22

Figure4:Householdsthatconsumedanyofthefollowingfooditemsinthelast24hours(percentage) 23

Figure5:HDDSbyagroecologicalzone 23

Figure6:HDDSbyregionandstate 24

Figure 7: Householdsaffectedbyadditionalshocksandreactions(percentage) 28

Figure8:Purposeofliquidatingassets(percentageofhouseholds) 28

Figure9:Production,areaandyieldsinselectedcropsinMyanmar(2018–24) 33

Figure10:Reportedissuesinobtainingcreditfrominputsuppliers(percentageofhouseholds),2021–24 38

Figure11:Indebtednessandsolvencyinfarmhouseholds(percentageofhouseholds) 39

Figure12:Changesinfarmingcostsandsowingproblemsintheupcomingmonsoonseason(percentageofhouseholds),2021–24. 41

Figure13:RecentfoodtradetrendsinMyanmar 46

Figure14:Cropexports(valueandvolume)inMyanmar,2020–23 47

Figure15:Cropimports(valueandvolume)between2020and2023inMyanmar 50

Figure16:Exchangerates(kyatperUS$) 51

FigureA.1:AgroecologicalzonesinMyanmar 59

FigureA.2:Farmhouseholds’reportedissuesinaccessingfooditems(percentage) 64

ListofTables

Table1:Distr