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德国央行-月报——2025年6月-213页.pdfVIP

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德国央行-月报——2025年6月-213页.pdf

    MonthlyReport–

    June

    2025

    Vol.77No6

    TableofContent

    ForecastforGermany:UStariffsinitiallyweighoneconomicgrowth;

    fiscalpolicyprovidesimpetuswithadelay.................................4

    1Keyaspectsofthemacroeconomicoutlook...............................7

    2Riskassessment........................................................21

    ThepotentialimpactofamorerestrictiveUStradepolicyontheGerman

    economy................................................................25

    3MoredetailedinformationontheForecastforGermany..................31

    4Listofreferences.......................................................59

    Reviewoftheoperationalframeworkforimplementingmonetary

    policy:outlookfortheEurosystembalancesheetandstructuraloperations

    61

    1Implementingmonetarypolicyintheeuroarea:instrumentsand

    framework..............................................................64

    2Excessliquidityresultingfromnon-standardmonetarypolicymeasures...67

    Whatrolecancentralbankreservesplayinmonetarypolicytransmission

    viathebankingsystem?..................................................72

    3Changestotheoperationalframeworkforimplementingmonetarypolicy

    in2024..................................................................75

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