广东省社会保障水平指标体系的构建与实证分析.pdfVIP

摘要 近年来，中国政府和公众对社会保障的事业越来越重视，政策逐步完善，投入也逐 年增加。然而，这些政策和投入的产出效果如何，公众的社会保障水平是否有所提高， 对这些问题的回答就需要有一个社会保障水平综合测量指标体系。这是因为一个国家的 社会保障涉及到许多方面，其保障水平是一个综合概念，没有单一的指标能够充分、适 当地反映出整体保障水平的高低，因此有必要建立一个由多个变量组成的指标体系，通 过综合指标体系计算出评价指数。建立社会保障指标体系的主要目的是对社会保障水平 进行量化评测，定量地描述保障状况，以便进行横向和纵向的比较分析，这样就能随时 掌握社会保障水平的动态变化情况，预测发展趋势。 本文结合国内外相关研究在理论和方法上的成就与不足，以科学的理论和方法为依 据，研究和评价社会保障运行状况，提出了一套能结合广东省实际的可行的评估体系。 接着收集社会保障具体指标数据，采用战略矩阵分析模型对其现有社会保障水平进行实 证分析，比较客观、全面地衡量了广东省社会保障事业的发展水平，系统而具体地反映 其实际情况。然后寻找影响广东省社会保障事业发展的主要因素，为广东省社会保障适 度水平改革方案的设计及各项目子目标的发展和实践提供参考依据。 关键词：社会保障 指标体系 实证分析 层次分析法 I ABSTRACT In recent years, more and more emphasis has been put on the social security by both the Chinese Government and the public. As a result, the policies concerned social security are gradually improved and investments on it have been increased year by year 。However, the question of how to measure the output effect of these policies and investments and to what extent does peoples livelihood situation have improved and whether the level of social security of Chinese citizens do have enhanced earnestly can only be answered by an Index System which gives a comprehensive measure of social security system. It lies in that a countrys social security involves many aspects and the concept of social security level is a comprehensive one. No single index can precisely reflect an overall situation of the social security level, which is the reason why an Index System composed of a variety of variables is needed. In this way, a comparative analysis can be carried out both vertically and horizontally and the dynamic changes in social security level can be traced and its future trends can be predicted as well. This