基于灰靶理论的我国工业经济-生态协调发展水平评价.pdfVIP

中国科技论文在线 基于灰靶理论的我国工业经济-生态协调发 展水平评价# 黄新焕，王文平** 5 （东南大学经济管理学院,南京 211189 ） 摘要：本文利用“驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应”框架构建了我国工业经济-生态协调发展评价 指标体系。引入靶心度模型对我国 31 个省市自治区工业经济-生态协调发展状况进行了分 析，并运用贡献度理论分析工业经济-生态协调发展的各影响因素的贡献度，找出关键影响 10 因素，为指导我国工业经济-生态协同发展提供科学依据。研究表明：（1）我国31 省市自 治区工业经济-生态协调发展整体水平不高，各省市自治区工业经济-生态协调发展水平不均 衡，仍有较大的提升空间。（2 ）工业污染治理完成投资占GIOV 的比重，单位GIOV 一般 工业固体废物产生量，单位GIOV 二氧化硫排放量，万元地区生产总值能耗等因素为我国工 业经济-生态协调发展的关键影响因素。 15 关键词：工业经济-生态协调发展评价；靶心度理论；贡献度理论 中图分类号：F424.7 Evaluating Industrial Economy–ecology-coordinated Development Level by Grey Target Theory 20 HUANG Xinhuan, WANG Wenping (School of Economics and Management, Southeast Univercity, Nanjing 211189) Abstract : Evaluation index system of industrial economy–ecology-coordinated development is constructed based on “Driving-force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR)” conceptual model in this paper. Bull’s-eye degree of grey target theory is introduced to evaluate industrial 25 economy-ecology-coordinated development level of 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. The contribution degree of influence factors is analyzed by contribution degree theory. The key influencing factors are identified according to contribution degree of each index. The results show that: firstly, the overall level of industrial economy–ecology-coordinated development in China is not high, there is a big gap of coordinated development level between provinces, 30 municipalities and autonomous region , and there is still a large room to improve the