我国能源强度_电力强度变化及因素分析.pdfVIP

第 卷 第 期 23 7 能 源 技 术 经 济 Vol．23 No． 7 第 期 7 年 月 能源供需分析 2011 7 Energy Technology and Economics Jul. 2011 文章编号：1674-8441(2011)07-0023-07 我国能源强度、电力强度变化及因素分析 徐敏杰， 单葆国， 韩新阳 （国网能源研究院，北京100052） 摘 要：运用对数平均迪氏指数法对2000—2008 年我国能源强度、电力强度变化的情况及因素进行了 分析，结果表明：行业能耗变化对能源强度的变化起主导作用，符合这段时期我国重化工业化的特征； 行业电耗变化和结构变化同时引起电力强度的变化，但行业电耗变化起主导作用，这与电能在终端能 源消费的比重不断提高密切相关。 关键词：能源强度；电力强度；结构；能耗；电耗 中图分类号：TK01 ；F206 文献标志码：A Analysis on Changes and Factors of Energy Intensity and Electricity Intensity in China XU Minjie, SHAN Baoguo, HAN Xinyang (State Grid Energy Research Institute, Beijing 100052, China) Abstract : Using Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), this paper analyzes the changes and modulating factors of energy intensity and electricity intensity in China from 2000 to 2008. The results indicate that energy consumption changes of sectors plays a leading role in the changes of energy intensity, which coincides with the characteristics of the heavy industrialization in this period. Changes in the sector electricity consumption and the sector structure also lead to changes of electricity intensity, with the sector electricity consumption changes playing the leading role, which is closely related to the ever-increasing percentage of the electricity consumption in the overall end-use energy consumption. Keywords: energy intensity; electricity intensity; structure; energy consumption; electricity consumption 0 引言 度为75% ；文献[19]通过运用能源消费和部门产业结 构的回归分析认为，产业结构变化是能源强度变化 2000—2008 年，我国的能源强