复杂评价指标决策的开拓方案选择研究.pdfVIP

复杂评价指标决策的开拓方案选择研究 王新民，周彦龙，冯岩，张钦礼，赵建文 （中南大学资源与安全工程学院，湖南 长沙，410083 ） 摘 要：建立开拓系统综合评价系统，应用突变理论进行开拓系统的优化选择。在评价过程中，综合考虑影 响开拓方案选择的定量与非定量指标，如经济、技术指标，通风与环保条件等；对各评价指标进行重要性 排序，构建层状评价系统；应用突变理论基本原理，对评价系统进行量化递归运算，得出各方案最终突变 隶属函数值。以新桥矿露天转地下开拓系统为例，计算出3 个方案的评价值依次为0.968，0.995 和0.951， 从而确定方案二最优。 关键词：开拓方案选择；多定性目标决策；突变优选理论；归一化 中图分类号：TD216 文献标识码：A 文章编号： Study on selection of the development system which is determined by complicated evaluations WANG Xin-min ，ZHOU Yan-long，FENG Yan ，ZHANG Qin-li，ZHAO Jian-wen (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China) Abstract: A synthetic assessment about the development system was built to select the best development system based on catastrophe optimization theory. During the process, lots of fix and non-fix evaluations working on the development system were taken into account, for instance, economic and technical factors, ventilation and environment protection conditions, etc. First, all evaluations were sorted by their importance. Then a layered array of the evaluations was established. After that, catastrophe optimization theory was used to calculate the recursive separately. At last , the total function values for every method were obtained. The final function values in Xinqiao Iron Mine are 0.968, 0.995, 0.951 and the second model comes to the first. Key words: the selection of development system; multi qualitative evaluation; catastrophe optimization theory; normalization 矿山开拓系统系矿山基本建设工程，其投资及施工期均占有相当大的比重，它是一项对 [1] 矿山生产具有长远影响的矿山总体布置 。开拓系统等于是整座矿山生产系统的命脉中枢， 合理与否将直接影响矿山的生产运作状况及近、远景经济效益。开拓系统工程庞大，耗资较 [2] 多，施工困难，因此选择合理的开拓系统对于整个矿山来讲是重中之重 。 现代开采工业发展百余年来，人们在对开拓方案选择设计的研究和探索过程中，有了较 多的成果与经验积累。在选择开拓系