经济发展可持续性状态和趋势定量评价方法研究.pdfVIP

25 6 Vol. 25 , No. 6 2005 6 Acta Scientiae Cir cumstantiae Jun . , 2005 , , , . [ J] . , 2005, 25( 6) : 7 11- 720 XU Fuliu, ZHAO Shanshan, ZHAN Ying , et al . A methodology for evaluating quantitatively t he sustainability status and trends of economic development [ J] . Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae , 2005, 25( 6) : 7 11- 720 * 徐福留 , 赵珊珊, 张 颖, 郝君宜, 詹 巍, 赵臻彦 北京大学环境学院, 地表过程分析与模拟教育部重点实验室, 北京 10087 1 : 2004- 11-25 : 2005-03- 28 : 2005-04- 10 : , . , . . , 2000 , 31 ; 1980 199 1 , 199 1 2000 . 20 . , , . : ; ; ; ; : 0253-2468( 2005) 06-07 11- 10 : F06 13, X22 : A A methodology for evaluating quantitatively the sustainability status and trends of economic development * XU Fuliu , ZHAO Shanshan, ZHAN Ying, HAO Junyi, ZHAN Wei, ZHAO Zhenyan College of Environment al Sciences and MOE Laboratory for Eart h Surf ace Process, Peking University, Beijing 10087 1 Received 25 November 2004; received in revised f orm 28 M arch 2005; accepted 10 April 2005 Abstract: In conjunction wit h environmental performance, a def inition to sustainable economic development was proposed, and a novel triangle method was designed to evaluate economic development sustainability , based on the interrelationships among economic development, resource- energy consumpt ion and environment pollut ion. As a case study , the triangle method was applied to assess the sust ainability st at us and long-t erm trends of Chinas economic development. The results showed that economic development in 2000 represented a relatively weak stat e of sustainability , and that most of the 31 political regions in Mainland China reflected sust ainability positions ranging from weakly unsustainable to weakly sustainabl e.