基于异地潮位资料和bp神经网络的潮位推算的研究.pdfVIP

热带海洋学报 JOURNAL OF TROPICAL OCEANOGRAPHY 2015 年 第 34 卷 第 2 期: 1−7 海洋水文学 doi:10.3969/j.issn.1009-5470.2015.02.001 BP 王盛安, 龙小敏, 潘文亮, 周峰华, 王东晓 (), 510301 : BP , , (), (t) N (t–N+1, , t–1, t), 2~10 , 345 10 15 , , , 4 , 15 ; 2 , 4 t–1t , 0.9901, 0.06m, –0.160.15m , , BP , : ; ; ; 中图分类号: P731 文献标识码: A 文章编号: 1009-5470(2015)02-0001-07 Tide prediction using tide observation at a nearby site based on BP neural network WANG Sheng-an, LONG Xiao-min, PAN Wen-liang, ZHOU Feng-hua, WANG Dong-xiao State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography (South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences), Guangzhou 510301, China Abstract: Based on a BP neural network (NN) model, we investigated the possibility to derive the tide level at one site using the tide observation at a nearby site. As an example, the application of the neural network model to predict the tide level at Station Sanya using the observed data at Station Xisha is presented. The observed tide level at different hours ahead of the prediction time (t–N+1, , t–1, t) are used as the input vector. Combinations of different numbers of input-layer nodes (2 to 10) and hidden-layer nodes (3, 4, 5, 10, 15) are used, and the outputs are compared with field data. For the specific case used in this study, four nodes in the hidden layer lead to the best prediction while 15 nod