宏观调控下天津市房地产市场理性发展的研究.pdf

ABSTRACT Since 2002，in order t0 ensure t11e stabili够of price of the real estate market， tlle goVemment h嬲taken a n眦ber of regulation p01icies a11d cont∞lliI坞 measures．111e e位ctiVeness of tllese policies aIld meaLsures is mixing．Wim凰t deVelopmem，t11ere are some problems h1 tlle real estate market of TiaIljin，such as the improper supply stmcture and K曲speed i11crease in housing price．Up to now，TianjiIl Birlllai new area has been inc01porated intD rlation2Ll development 咖neg)，，锄d Ti刎in’s urb撕zation process is becoming f瓠ter锄d缸ter，wtlich proVide me real estate iIld吣时丽th 10ts of oppommities．n is a Ve巧iInponant thir培t0 eValuate aIld promote the stable deVelopment of real estate mark烈iIl Ti砌in． FirStly，mis paper presemed the sigllificance of rational deVelopment and 嬲sessment of real estate market i11 Tia坷i11．Then it makes comparison of macroeconomic regulation Systems oVer the real estate indus时home and abroad，a11d of-fers some suggestions．Secondly，a mathematical model w嬲 conStmcted on real estate m砌∞t’s challge，and the innuenCe f．actors were aI]Ialyzed．According t0 tlle empirical results，廿le real estate price in Ti刎iIl correlate：s wim per c印池diSposable incoIne a11d 1锄d price，W11ile仃ading V01ulne correlates、杌t11 rem estate price aIld area completed．TIlirdly，tlle paper collstmcts evaluation system and method on t11e real eState market ratioIlal deVelopment a11d印plies tlle system botll separately aIld comprehensiVely， 、7l柱ch leads t0 t11e conclusion tllat t11e real estatc m破et now i11 Tianj in is i仃a：tional．FinallybaSed on me rational evaluation reSults，tlle paper proposes seVeral policies锄d suggestiolls，which includes proViding more low-income housing，increasing citizen’s income，comprellensiVe using of lalld aIld fmaIlcial con臼．0l，eIlllallcing govemment regulation锄d iIlcreasing local goVenllllent Key words：Macr0一economic Con呐l；Real Es纨M破et；EValuation of DeVelopment RatioIlal时；T删in Ⅱ 1绪论 1．1研究背景 自2002年以来，我国经济进入新一轮的发展周期，宏观调控也从1998 年之后的积极政策逐步转向当前的从紧政策，不断加大调控的力度，其中 房地产业是近几年调控的