Modelling the interactions between climate change and rice.pptVIP

Management of Global Climate Change in Indian Agriculture What is the contribution of different sectors in India to climate change? (Sources of greenhouse gas emissions in India) What sectors of agriculture in India contribute to climate change? Projected impacts of climate change on Indian agriculture Cereal productivity to decrease by 10-40% by 2100. Greater loss expected in rabi. Every 1oC increase in temperature reduces wheat production by 4-5 million tons. Loss only 1-2 million tons if farmers could plant in time. Reduced frequency of frost damage: less damage to potato, peas, mustard Increased droughts and floods are likely to increase production variability Projected impacts of climate change on Indian agriculture Imbalance in food trade due to positive impacts on Europe and N.America, and negative impacts on us Increased water, shelter, and energy requirement for livestock; implications for milk production Increasing sea and river water temperatures are likely to affect fish breeding, migration, and harvests. Coral reefs start declining from 2030. Considerable effect on microbes, pathogens, and insects Adaptation and mitigation framework: Need to consider emerging scenario Greater demand for (quality) food; yields need to increase by 30-50% by 2030 Increasing urbanization and globalization Increasing competition from other sectors for land, energy, water and capital Climate change a continuous process; greater focus on short-term actions on adaptation and mitigation Assisting farmers in coping with current climatic risks Intensifying food production systems Improving land and water management Enabling policies Strengthening adaptation research Sequestering soil carbon and mitigating GHGs Addition of organic manures, minimal tillage, agro-forestry Alternate drying in irrigated paddies Management practices to increase nitrogen use efficiency Increasing fuel efficiency in agri. machines Improved management of livestock diet These strategies have costs