《第五章.不确定分析.pptVIP

敏感性分析 投资不确定性与风险概述 盈亏平衡分析 概率分析 建设投资：-10％ NPV(IRR)=– 874(P/F, IRR,1) – 287 (P/F, IRR,2) +(1112 – 218 – 759 –101)(P/F, IRR,3) + (1390 – 54 – 919 – 126) (P/F, IRR,4) + (1390 – 919 – 126) (P/A, IRR,11) (P/F, IRR,4) +(1390+60+300 – 919 – 126) (P/F, IRR,16) =0 ∴ IRR=19.6%＞12%，项目可行。 Evaluation only. Created with Aspose.Slides for .NET 3.5 Client Profile 5.2.0.0. Copyright 2004-2011 Aspose Pty Ltd. 0 1 2 3 4 5 15 16 319 240 1112 835 101 60 1390 126 1390 126 1390 126 1390 60 300 126 971 1011 1011 1011 1011 i=12% 835 1011 1011 1011 101