GEMSGlobalEarth-systemMonitoringusingSpaceandin-.pptVIP

November 2000 The ECMWF forecasting system GEMS:Global Earth-system Monitoring using Space and in-situ data /research/EU_projects/GEMSGMES Integrated Project, 12.5MEuro, 30 Institutes, 14 Countries Coordinator A.Hollingsworth (ECMWF) Projects Leadership Greenhouse Gases P.Rayner (F) M.Heimann, (D) Reactive Gases G.Brasseur (D), C.Granier (F) Aerosol O.Boucher (UK) H.Feichter (D) Regional Air Quality V-H.Peuch (F) Validation H.Eskes (NL) Global Production System A.Simmons, H.Boettger, (ECMWF), Broad Motivations for GEMS 18,000 excess deaths in summer 2003 showed that Europe lacks operational capabilities to provide adequate medium-range (3-7 day) warnings and adequate short-range (1-3 day) forecasts for such natural disasters. The GEMS project will create a new European operational system to monitor atmospheric chemistry and dynamics to produce improved medium-range short-range air-chemistry forecasts, The operational forecast capabilities will involve global and regional data assimilation systems exploiting satellite in-situ data, to provide initial data (‘status assessments’) for the forecasts. sophisticated operational forecast models, The operational ‘status assessments’ are accurate syntheses of all data. They will be used to document sources, sinks and transports of atmospheric trace constituents, for many purposes including monitoring Evolution of forecast skill for northern and southern hemispheres 1981-2002 Objectives of GEMS (i): A Global Operational System for monitoring forecasting Atmospheric Composition Develop and implement by 2009 a validated, comprehensive, and operational global data assimilation / forecast system for atmospheric composition and dynamics, combine remotely sensed and in-situ data Monitor tropospheric stratospheric atmospheric composition Operational deliverables will include current and forecast three-dimensional global distributions (four times daily with a horizontal resolution