2011 stateofthe future- senado（2011年stateofthe未来- senado）.docVIP

Appendix C: Global Scenarios Appendix C1: Counterterrorism––Scenarios, Actions, and Policies Appendix C2: Very Long-Term Scenarios Appendix C3: Middle East Peace Study Appendix C4: Global Energy Scenarios 2020 Table of Contents of the 2011 State of the Future  Appendix C1: Counterterrorism––Scenarios, Actions, and Policies Appendix C1-1: Round 2 Questionnaire Appendix C1-2: Round 2 Results Appendix C1-3: A move-countermove table developed by Ted Fuller Appendix C1-4: Strategies from New York University Study Appendix C1-5: Notes on the Construction of Scenarios Appendix C1-1: Round 2 Questionnaire International Study on Counterterrorism Round 2 On behalf of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University and its sponsors listed below, we invite you to participate in an international assessment of policies to counter terrorism. The results of the study will be available to those in the counterterrorism policy process and published in the 2002 State of the Future. Shortly after the September 11, 2001 attacks, counterterrorism scenarios were requested on-line from the Millennium Project participants and the World Future Studies Federation. The scenarios were posted on-line for further comments. The results are available at /millennium/antiterrorism.html. The enclosed questionnaire is built on that work and requests your judgments about the effectiveness, plausibility, and potential unexpected downside risks of the policies derived from the scenarios. You are also asked for additional suggestions. All those who respond to the questionnaire will receive a copy of the results in the 2002 State of the Future and be listed as participants. You are not required to answer all the questions; provide your judgments just about those items you feel most qualified and interested in addressing. Please contact us with any questions and return your responses to arrive at the AC/UNU Millennium Project by March 5, 2002. Incl