PMP_ Time Management【DOC精选】.doc

Time Management Time Management Objective: Timely completion of project EXAM Hot Topic: 1) Network Diagram 2) 3 – Point Estimate 3) Develop Schedule Schedule Management Plan Subsidiary Plan of PM Plan it contains scheduling methodology, schedule baseline, tool technique Define Activity further decompose Work Package defined in WBS to Activity level Activity List = do NOT show dependency Activity Attribute: Activity ID, WBS ID, date = describe Activity Milestone: Checkpoint = useful for management control Sequence Activity Create Network Diagram = show dependency/relationship PDM a.k.a. Activity On Node (AON) = method for drawing CPM Network Diagram Predecessor, Successor Activity 1) Finish – to – Start (FS) e.g. you must finish digging hole before you start to plant tree 2) Finish –to – Finish (FF) e.g. you must finish testing before you can finish doc. 3) Start – to – Start (SS) e.g. you must start design and wait for 2 weeks and start coding 4) Start – to – Finish (SF) = rarely used Dependency Determination 1) Mandatory Dependency (Hard Logic) inherit from work 2) Discretionary Dependency (Preferential/Soft Logic) 3) External Dependency = higher risk Lead and Lag Lag = delay (wait) The use of Lead and Lag should not replace schedule logic Qualitative vs Quantitative Estimate Qualitative Quantitative Top – Down Bottom – Up Expert Judgment Parametric Analogous Three – Point Estimate Activity Resource Resource Calendar = reflect resource availability Resource Breakdown Structure (RBS) Analogous (Top Down) a form of Expert Judgment Use historical info. Parametric Estimate e.g. qty of work X production rate also based on historical data, but quantitative Regression Analysis, Learning Curve Heuristics Rule of thumb Three – Point Estimate (PERT Estimate) Mean (Expected) = (P + 4M + O) / 6 STD = (P – O) / 6 Normal Distribution = Bell Shape +/- 1 sigma from mean: 68.26% +/1 2 sigma from mean: 95.46% +/1 3 sigma from mean: 99.73%