Sensor Data Fusion for Accurate Cloud Presence Prediction Using Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory 英文参考文献.docVIP

Sensors 2010, 10, 9384-9396; doi:10.3390/s101009384 OPEN ACCESS sensors ISSN 1424-8220 /journal/sensors Article Sensor Data Fusion for Accurate Cloud Presence Prediction Using Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory Jiaming Li 1,*, Suhuai Luo 2 and Jesse S. Jin 2 1 CSIRO ICT Centre, Corner of Vimiera and Pembroke Roads, Marsfield, NSW 2122; Australia 2 The University of Newcastle, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia; E-Mails; Suhuai.Luo@.au (S.H.L.); Jesse.Jin@.au (J.S.J.) * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: Jiaming.Li@csiro.au; Tel.: +61-2 Fax: +61-2 Received: 30 August 2010; in revised form: 15 September 2010 / Accepted: 25 September 2010 / Published: 18 October 2010 Abstract: Sensor data fusion technology can be used to best extract useful information from multiple sensor observations. It has been widely applied in various applications such as target tracking, surveillance, robot navigation, signal and image processing. This paper introduces a novel data fusion approach in a multiple radiation sensor environment using Dempster-Shafer evidence theory. The methodology is used to predict cloud presence based on the inputs of radiation sensors. Different radiation data have been used for the cloud prediction. The potential application areas of the algorithm include renewable power for virtual power station where the prediction of cloud presence is the most challenging issue for its photovoltaic output. The algorithm is validated by comparing the predicted cloud presence with the corresponding sunshine occurrence data that were recorded as the benchmark. Our experiments have indicated that comparing to the approaches using individual sensors, the proposed data fusion approach can increase correct rate of cloud prediction by ten percent, and decrease unknown rate of cloud prediction by twenty three percent. Keywords: multi-sensor; data fus