人口变迁、人力资本与经济增长的理论与模型进展.pdfVIP

第8量第11 期2∞9!在 11 月 大理学院学报 JOURNAL OF DALI UNIVERSITY Vo l.8 NO.ll Nov. 2009 人口变迁、人力资本与经济增长的理论与模型进展 廖望科 (大理学院经济与管理学院，云南大理 671003) [摘要] 30年来增长理论的重要贡献之一就是确立了人力资本在经济可持续增长中的内生作用。自 1950年以 来，世界各国正在进行大幅人口变迁，但其对人力资本形成和经济增长的作用却是近年来才受到关注。而有 关多民族经济体中民族融合与人口变迁和经济增长的互动研究更是刚起步。对有关人口变迁、人力资本和 经济增长关系的最新进展进行系统梳理，从而为后续研究提供一套初步的理论模型与计量框架。 [关键词]人口变迁;人力资本;经济增长 [中图分类号] F06 1.2 [文献标识码] A [文章编号] 1672-2345(2∞9)11-∞50-05 A Review on Theories and Modeling Framework of Demographic Change, Human Capital and Economic Growth liao Wangke (College of Economícs Management, Dalí Uníversity , Dali , Yunnan , 671∞3， Chína) (Abstract) In modem growth theories a1most three decades of evolv~ment， one of its mosl importanl conlributions has been ω eslablish human capital as a key factor in promoting long-term economíc gr咀wth. Sínce 1950s, countries across the world have been undergoíng dramatíc d~mographíc changes. Only recenùy , however, the effect of such changes on human capital formatíon , and hence on economíc growth has thus become a research focus. Moreover, for multi -minority economies, the research on the relationshíp among ethnic inclusion , demographic change and 伊uwth is stíll at íts early stage.ηIÍs paper takes a systematic review on the progress of the theories and modeling fTdmeworks regarding the interactíons between demographic changes, human capital and economic growth. It serves to provide a prelíminary set of theoretical modeling and empirical framework for further research ín thís dírection. (Key words) demographíc changes; Human Capital; Economic Growth 人力资本是社会经济发展的基本投入要素。民 新能力