基于多主体的发电企业二阶段博弈模型仿真.pdfVIP

第26卷 第17期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vo1．26 No．17 Sep．2006 2006年9月 Proceedings of the CSEE 02006 Chin．Soc．for Elec．Eng 文章编号：0258—8013(2006)17—0006—05 中图分类号：TM74 文献标识码：A 学科分类号：470．40 基于多主体的发电企业二阶段博弈模型仿真 任玉珑，刘 贞，粟增德 (重庆大学经济与工商管理学院，重庆市 沙坪坝区400030) Simulation for Two-phase Game Model of Power Plants Based on Multi-agent REN Yu-long，LIU Zhen，SU Zeng-de (College of Economics and Business Administration，Chongqing University,Shapingba District，Chongqing 400030，China) ABSTRACT：In incomplete information and monopolistic 构成，在多主体平台Swarm上对该发电市场进行仿真，通 electricity market，power plant needs to predict competitors’ 过仿真论证了该模型能较其它模型更准确地预测对手的信 inform ation accurately．A two—phase game model based on 息。在发电市场中引入退出机制，对由具有效仿行为的发电 multi—agent plat(Swarm)Was proposed．The game process Was 企业构成的发电市场进行仿真，发现留存在市场上的发电企 divided into two phases according to the am ount of inform ation 业通常能较准确预测竞争对手的信息。 they received．Th e model depicted that power plant made full 关键词：电力系统；发电市场；不完全信息；演化博弈；多 use of the obtained inform ation and continually modified its 主体平台；Swarm仿真；效仿行为 behavior and rule in gam e．In order to study the effect of individual decision—making on population． bOm the 0 引言 self-educated behavior and imi tative behavior of the member in power market，also alternating behavior between different 我国电力市场化改革对发电企业提出了挑战。 populations were taken into account in the mode1．Th e power 发电企业进行决策的关键是如何在不完全信息非合 market，which consists of power plants adopting different 作博弈过程中不断学习和积累知识，并修正行为规 models，has been simulated by Swarm．Th e result showed the 则，以便在博弈过程中较准确地预测对手信息，从 two—phase gam e model Can predict the inform ation of their 而获取更多利润。 rivals more accurately